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My research interests revolve around political behavior and democratic theory. More specifically, they include political and civic participation, voting behavior, public opinion, election forecasting, collective wisdom, political legitimacy, and more. I also take an interest in political methodology, and have conducted studies based on survey experiments, time series data, and multi level structured data.

Quantitative Methods in the Social Sciences

The American Political System

 

Academic book chapter

Research report

Academic article

Conference lecture

Media interview

Radio or TV participation

Academic literature review

Lecture

Dataset

Media feature article

Letter to the editor

Journal review

Doctoral thesis (PhD)

Non-fiction book chapter

Published or forthcoming in refereed journals

Strijbis, Oliver, Sveinung Arnesen, and Lauren Bernhard (2016): "Using Prediction Market Data for Measuring Expected Closeness in Electoral Research.", Electoral Studies.

Arnesen, Sveinung (in press): "Legitimacy from Decision-Making Influence and Outcome Favorability", Political Studies.

Arnesen, Sveinung and Oliver Strijbis (2015):"", in Statistica Applicata - Italian Journal of Applied Statistics. Special issue on election forecasting techniques.

Arnesen, Sveinung and Ole J. Bergfjord (2015): " Journal of Prediction Markets, 8(3), p. 24-33.

Arnesen, Sveinung (2012): "". International Journal of Forecasting 01/2012; 28(4):789–796.

Arnesen, Sveinung (2011): "Informasjon, motivasjon, prediksjon: Eit forsøk med prediksjonsmarknad før stortingsvalet 2009". Tidsskrift for samfunnsforskning. 2011 ;Volum 52.(1) s. 99-121

Arnesen, Sveinung (2011): "". Journal of Prediction Markets. 5(3), 42-63.

 

Book chapters
Arnesen, Sveinung (2015): Aktivierung und Überzeugung auf Prognosemärkten und in Umfragen, in Oliver Strijbis and Kai-Uwe Schnapp (Eds.), Aktivierung und Überzeugung im Bundestagswahlkampf 2013, Springer DE.

Christensen, Dag Arne, and Sveinung Arnesen (2013): Deltakelsen ved kommunestyrevalget 2011, in Et robust lokaldemokrati - lokalvalget i skyggen av 22. juli 2011. Abstrakt forlag 2013, ISBN 978-92-7935-342-3. s. 47-72.

 

Most recent conference paper

Arnesen, Sveinung, Stefan Dahlberg, and Jonas Linde (2015): "" The 2015 American Political Science Association Conference, at San Fransisco, CA.

Arnesen, Sveinung, and Yvette Peters (2015): Paper presented at the 5th Annual General Conference of the European Political Science Association, At Wien, Austria.

Degree dissertation

 Arnesen, Sveinung (2012):  PhD thesis, University of Bergen.

Book reviews
Josefsen, Eva og Jo Saglie (red): Sametingsvalg – Velgere, partier, medier. Oslo: Abstrakt forlag. 2011. 273 pages. Reviewed in Norwegian Journal of Political Science 2013, No. 1:75-78.

Bjørn Erik Rasch (red.): Amerikansk politikk – politisk system og politisk tenkning. Oslo:Abstrakt forlag. 2008. 326 pages. Tidsskrift for samfunnsforskning 2009 - 3:403-405

 

Reports
Christensen, Dag Arne, Sveinung Arnesen, Guro Ødegård, and Johannes Bergh (2013): . Oslo: Institute for social research 2013 (ISBN 978-82-7763-405-0) 117 pages. ISF report (2013:001).

Klausen, Jan Egil, Sveinung Arnesen, Dag Arne Christensen, Bjarte Folkestad, Gro Sandkjær Hanssen, Marte Winswold, and Jacob Aars (2013): . Joint report NIBR/Uni Rokkan Centre. 

Arnesen, Sveinung, Bjarte Folkestad and Dag Arne Christensen (2012): "Sosial forankring og aktivt medlemskap i frivillige organisasjoner", in , Bernard Enjolras, K. Steen-Johnsen and G. Ødegård (eds.). Report, Centre for Research on Civil Society and Voluntary Research, Bergen/Oslo, Norway, p. 27-49.

Wollebæk, Dag, and Sveinung Arnesen (2012): "Konsekvenser av organisasjonsaktivitet for yrkesdeltakelse", in , Bernard Enjolras, K. Steen-Johnsen and G. Ødegård (eds.). Report, Centre for Research on Civil Society and Voluntary Research, Bergen/Oslo, Norway, p.125-158.

Rydland, Tore, Sveinung Arnesen and Åse Gilje Østensen (2008): "." Report prepared for the European Social Survey. NSD Report No. 124, Norwegian Social Science Data Services (NSD).

 

Selected dissemination texts
Arnesen, Sveinung (2013): "". Comment article on London School of Economics ́ EUROPP blog.

Arnesen, Sveinung (2013): "" Comment article on London School of Economics ́ EUROPP blog.

Arnesen, Sveinung (2012): "Velgerpreferanser og valgkamp", in Replikk, No. 34, 21-36.

 

 

 

 

 

The European Internet Panel Study - EIPS

 

The Digital Social Science Core Facilities - DIGSSCORE

The is an infrastructure for advanced social science data collection and multi-disciplinary research at the . DIGSSCORE extends the successful probability-based internet-panel which was established at the University of Bergen in 2012, The Norwegian Citizen Panel, and will integrate it with a fully equipped on-site social science digital research lab, The Citizen Lab, starting August 2016. The facility takes advantage of changes in technology and research methodology that combine to bring computer laboratory research and survey studies ever closer together. This environment is designed to maximize opportunities for scientific innovation and collaboration in the social sciences and multidisciplinary research.

 

The Norwegian Citizen Panel
Norwegian Citizen Panel is a web-based survey of Norwegians’ opinions toward important societal matters. Social scientists from the University of Bergen and The Rokkan Center run the panel, which is a non-profit project exclusively used for research purposes. The participants represent a cross-section of the Norwegian population, who will be invited a few times a year to give their opinion on important questions to Norwegian society and politics.

 

The European Prediction Market Infrastructure for Political Elections - EPMIPE

The European Prediction Market Infrastructure for Political Elections develops and facilitates the use of prediction market software for use in relation to political elections and popular votes. The software has been employed to Norwegian national elections, German national elections, Spanish national and regional elections, and to Swiss national elections and popular votes. The data generated from this project have resulted in publications in peer reviewed channels such as Electoral Studies, International Journal of Forecasting, Italian Journal of Applied Statistics, Journal of Prediction Markets, Journal of Social Research.