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Noel Sebastian Keenlyside
Photo: Ellen Viste

Noel Sebastian Keenlyside

Position

Professor

Affiliation

E-mail
noel.keenlyside@uib.no
Phone number
+47 55582032
Visitor address
Jahnebakken 3 Bergen
5007 Bergen
Room: 215
Postal address
P.O. Box 7803
NO-5020 Bergen
Norway

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Noel Sebastian Keenlyside

Position

Professor

Affiliation

Research groups

Research

 

Current research interest

  • Decadal variability and predictability of climate
  • Tropical interannual climate variability and predictability
  • Extra-tropical ocean-atmosphere interaction
  • Super climate modelling
  • Climate-based predictions of marine ecosystems

Master projects

I can offer the following potential master thesis topics:

  • Climate Variability across timescales and the globe
  • Climate Prediction from sub-seasonal to decadal timescales
  • Climate Services (renewable energy, agriculture)
  • Climate-ecological interactions
  • Climate-health research

, or please contact me by email.

Five recent publications

  1. Bach猫lery, M.-L., J. Brajard, M. Patacchiola, S. Illig, N. Keenlyside, Predicting Atlantic and 1 Benguela Ni帽o events with deep learning, Science Advances, in press
  2. Rodrigues, R. R., C. Artana, A. G. Neto, T. L. Fr枚licher, N. Keenlyside, A. J. Hobday, F. A. Burger, P. S. Bernardo, J. Ara煤jo, Extreme Compound Events in the Equatorial and South Atlantic, Nature Comm, accepted
  3. Yin, M.,  X.-Q. Yang, L. Sun, L. Tao, N. Keenlyside, Amplified wintertime Arctic warming causes Eurasian cooling via nonlinear feedback of suppressed synoptic eddy activities, Sciences Adv. in press
  4. Schevenhoven, F., N. Keenlyside, .... (2023), , BAMS, E1670鈥揈1686
  5. Koseki, S., J. Tjiputra, F. Fransner, L. R. Crespo, and N. S. Keenlyside (2023),, Nature Communications, 14(1), 3649, 10.1038/s41467-023-38718-9.

Book chapters

  • Keenlyside, N., Y. Kosaka, N. Vigaud, A. Robertson, Y. Wang, D. Dommenget, J.-J. Luo, and D. Matei (2019), , edited by C. R. Mechoso, Cambridge University Press.
  • Keenlyside, N. S., J. Ba, J. Mecking, N.-O. Omrani, M. Latif, R. Zhang, and R. Msadek, 2015: . Climate Change: Multidecadal and Beyond, C.-P. Chang, M. Ghil, M. Latif, and M. Wallace, Eds., World Scientific Publishing.
Teaching

Master projects

I can offer the following potential master thesis topics:

  • Climate Variability across timescales and the globe
  • Climate Prediction from sub-seasonal to decadal timescales
  • Climate Services (renewable energy, agriculture)
  • Climate-ecological interactions
  • Climate-health research

, or please contact me by email.

Courses

GEOF348: Advanced Climate Dynamics

Previous

GEOF327: The General Circulation of the Atmosphere

GEOF212: Physical Climatology

Publications
Academic literature review
Conference poster
Lecture
Academic article
Conference lecture
Academic book chapter
Doctoral thesis (PhD)
Journal corrigendum
Media interview
Research report
Non-fiction book chapter
Editorial/Leader article
Popular science article

Submitted manuscripts

  • De Luca, P., C. Delgado-Torres, A. Aranyossy, R. Mahmood, A.D. King, M. Samso-Cabre, N.S. Keenlyside, A.S. Taschetto, and M.G. Donat (2025) Skillful decadal drought predictions in south-east Australia leverage teleconnections with atmospheric pressure patterns, submitted
  • Li, F., V. A. Semenov, N. S. Keenlyside, T. A. Aldonina, K.-J. Ha, E.-S. Chung, and X.-Q. Yang, Unveiling the Role of Sea Ice Loss in Early 20th Century Arctic Warming, submitted
  • Chandra, A., N. Keenlyside, L. Svendsen, F. Tian, and A. Singh, Enhanced upper Indian Ocean Heat Content linked to Madden鈥揓ulian Oscillation events propagating across the Maritime Continent, submitted to NPJ Climate and Atmospheric Sciences
  • Noleto-Filho, E., F. Keppeler, J. A. Reis-Filho, T. Giarrizzo, N. Keenlyside, A. Carvalho, Adriana, M. Coll, J. Steenbeek, R. Angelini, FoodWebAI: Creating and augmenting food webs with natural language models, submitted
  • Tian, F., N. Keenlyside, I. Bethke, P. Fern谩ndez, S. Koseki, F. Li (2024) Resolution-Dependent Sensitivity of Tropical Precipitation and Latent Heat Flux in the NorESM Model, submitted to JAMES, submitted
  • Omrani, N.-E., S. W. Lubis, N. Keenlyside, F. Ogawa Response of Northern Hemisphere stratospheric polar night jet to climate change: key role of tropical Ocean and diffusive mixing, submitted

Peer-reviewed

  1. Rodriguez-Fonseca, B., ... N. Keenlyside, ...  ENSO impacts on marine ecosystems and fisheries in the tropical and South Atlantic. Nat Rev Earth Environ 7, 43鈥59 (2026).
  2. Vilela, I., P. De Luca, S. Koseki, T. Silva, D. Veleda, N. Keenlyside, AMOC weakening modulates global warming impacts on precipitation over Brazil. npj Clim Atmos Sci 8, 369 (2025).
  3. Rivas, D. F. Fransner, S. Koseki, N. Keenlyside (2025) Physical drivers and reconstruction of the interannual variability of satellite-derived chlorophyll-a in key regions of the tropical and south Atlantic, Front. Mar. Sci., 12,
  4. Tang, W., Sun, B., Keenlyside, N. et al. (2025) Reversed tropical-Arctic teleconnection under climate change. npj Clim Atmos Sci 8, 368.
  5. Chapman, W. E., F. Schevenhoven, J. Berner, N. Keenlyside, I. Bethke, P.-G. Chiu, A. Gupta, and J. Nusbaumer (2025) Implementation and validation of a supermodelling framework into CESM version 2.1.5, Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 5451鈥5465,
  6. Segura, H, 20+ authors, including N. Keenlyside (2025),nextGEMS: entering the era of kilometer-scale Earth system modeling, EGUsphere, in press
  7. Dong, C., Z. Zhang, N. Keenlyside, S. P. Sobolowski, O. H. Otter氓, A. Bonaduce, J. Xie, R. P. Raj, Y. Liu, B. Liu, M. Wu (2025) Intensification of extreme cold events in East Asia in response to 1 global mean sea-level rise, accepted, Nature Comm.
  8. Silva, E., F. Counillon, J. Brajard, R. Davy, S. Outten, L. H. Petterson, N. Keenlyside (2025) Warming and freshening coastal waters impact harmful algal bloom frequency in high latitudes. Commun Earth Environ 6, 445 (2025).
  9. Wang, Y., F. Counillon, L. Svendsen, P.-G. Chiu, N. Keenlyside, P. Laloyaux, M. Koseki, and E. de Boisseson (2025) An ensemble-based coupled reanalysis of the climate from 1860 to the present (CoRea1860+), ESSD, in press
  10. Hu, A., I. Richter, Y. Okumura, N. Burls, N. Keenlyside, R. Parfitt, K. Bellomo, A. Bellucci, R. Farneti, A. Fedorov, B. S. Ferster, C. He, Q. Li, D. Matei (2025), Complexity of the Global Climate Dynamics: Interactions among ENSO, AMOC, and tropical basins, Ocean land atmosphere research, 2025;4:0096.DOI:
  11. Cai, W., .... , N.S. Keenlyside et al. Climate impacts of the El Ni帽o鈥揝outhern Oscillation in Africa. Nat Rev Earth Environ 6, 503鈥520 (2025).
  12. Sun, X., Y. Gao, X.-Q. Yang, Z. Fang, X. Zhang, S. Yuan, N. S. Keenlyside (2025) Dominant modes of interannual winter SAT covariability between the Arctic and the Tibetan Plateau: spatio-temporal structures and dynamical linkages. Clim Dyn 63, 225.
  13. Bach猫lery, M.-L., J. Brajard, M. Patacchiola, S. Illig, N. Keenlyside (2025) Predicting Atlantic and Benguela Ni帽o events with deep learning.Sci. Adv.11,eads5185. DOI:
  14. Rodrigues, R. R., C. Artana, A. G. Neto, T. L. Fr枚licher, N. Keenlyside, A. J. Hobday, F. A. Burger, P. S. Bernardo, J. Ara煤jo (2025) Extreme compound events in the equatorial and South Atlantic. Nat Commun 16, 3183.
  15. Richter, I., Chang, P., Chiu, P.-G., Danabasoglu, G., Doi, T., Dommenget, D., Gastineau, G., Gillett, Z. E., Hu, A., Kataoka, T., Keenlyside, N. S., Kucharski, F., Okumura, Y. M., Park, W., Stuecker, M. F., Taschetto, A. S., Wang, C., Yeager, S. G., and Yeh, S.-W. (2025) The Tropical Basin Interaction Model Intercomparison Project (TBIMIP), Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 2587鈥2608, .
  16. Yin, M.,  X.-Q. Yang, L. Sun, L. Tao, N. Keenlyside (2025) Amplified wintertime Arctic warming causes Eurasian cooling via nonlinear feedback of suppressed synoptic eddy activities.Sci. Adv.11,eadr6336.DOI:
  17. Richter, I., N. Keenlyside, T. Tozuka, Y. Okumura, C. Wang, P. Chang, S. Kido, and H. Tokinaga (2024) Comment on 鈥淩esolving the tropical Pacific/Atlantic interaction conundrum鈥 by Feng Jiang et al. (2023). Geophysical Research Letters, 51, e2024GL111563.
  18. Nair, A.S., F. Counillon, N. Keenlyside, (2024) Improving subseasonal forecast skill in the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model using soil moisture data assimilation. Clim Dyn 62, 10483鈥10502 (2024).
  19. Koseki, S., Crespo, L. R., Tjiputra, J., Fransner, F., Keenlyside, N. S., Rivas, D. (2024) Assessing the tropical Atlantic biogeochemical processes in the Norwegian Earth System Model, Biogeosciences, 21, 4149鈥4168,
  20. Drews, A., Schmith, T., Tian, T., Wang, Y., Devilliers, M., Keenlyside, N. S., et al. (2024). The crucial role of the subpolar North Atlantic for skillful decadal climate predictions. Geophysical Research Letters, 51, e2024GL109415.
  21. Tomety, F. S., S. Illig, M. Ostrowski, F. M. Awo, M.-L. Bach猫lery, N. Keenlyside, and M. Rouault (2024), Long-term climatological trends driving the recent warming along the Angolan and Namibian coasts. Clim Dyn.
  22. Semenov, V., T. A. Aldonina, F. Li, N. S. Keenlyside, and L. Wang (2024) ,  Adv. Atmos. Sci. 41, 1483鈥1495.
  23. Imbol Koungue, R., P. Brandt, A. Prigent, L. Costa Aroucha, J. L眉bbecke; A. S. N. Imbol Nkwinkwa, M. Dengler, N. Keenlyside (2024) Drivers and impact of the 2021 extreme warm event in the tropical Angolan upwelling system, Sci Rep 14, 16824.
  24. Sarre, A., H. Demarcq, N. Keenlyside, and others (2024) Climate change impacts on small pelagic fish distribution in Northwest Africa: trends, shifts, and risk for food security. Sci Rep 14, 12684.
  25. Garcia-Oliva, L., F. Counillon, I. Bethke, N. Keenlyside (2024) Intercomparison of initialization methods for seasonal-to-decadal climate predictions with the NorCPM. Clim Dyn 62, 5425鈥5444.
  26. Steenbeek, J ..... N. Keenlyside, (2024) Making ecosystem modelling operational - a novel distributed execution framework to systematically explore ecological responses to divergent climate trajectories, Earth's Future, 12, e2023EF004295.
  27. Ogilvie, A., L. King, N. Keenlyside, .... (2024), Recent Ventures in Interdisciplinary Arctic Research: The ARCPATH Project. Adv. Atmos. Sci. 41, 1559鈥1568.
  28. Wu, J., H. Fan, S. Lin, W. Zhong, S. He, N. Keenlyside, and S. Yang, (2024) Boosting effect of strong western pole of the Indian Ocean Dipole on the decay of El Ni帽o events, npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 7, 6, 
  29. Chandra, A., N. Keenlyside, L. Svendsen, A. Singh (2024), Processes driving subseasonal variations of upper Ocean Heat Content in the equatorial Indian Ocean, Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 129, e2023JC020074.
  30. Paolini, L. F., N.-E. Omrani, A. Bellucci, P. J. Athanasiadis, P. Ruggieri, C. R. Patrizio, N. Keenlyside (2024) Non-stationarity in the NAO鈥揋ulf Stream SST front interaction, 37, 1629鈥1650,
  31. Zheng, Y., N. Keenlyside, S. Li, S. He, and L. Suo (2024), . Adv. Atmos. Sci., 
  32. Boljka, L., N. E. Omrani, and N. S. Keenlyside (2023),  Weather Clim. Dynam., 4, 1087-1109.
  33. Schevenhoven, F., N. Keenlyside, .... (2023), , BAMS, E1670鈥揈1686
  34. Rivas, D., F. Counillon, N. Keenlyside (2023), , Front. Mar. Sci., 10, 10.3389/fmars.2023.1179649
  35. Tseng, W.-L., Y.-C. Lee, Y.-C. Wang, H.-H. Hsu, and N. Keenlyside (2023), Environmental Research Letters, 18(7), 074003, 10.1088/1748-9326/acdbdf.
  36. O'kane, T., ..... N. Keenlyside, ...... 2023: , Front. Clim., 5, 10.3389/fclim.2023.1121626
  37. Cheung, H.-N., N.-E. Omrani, F. Ogawa, N. Keenlyside, H. Nakamura, and W. Zhou (2023), , npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6(1), 61, 10.1038/s41612-023-00370-x
  38. Koseki, S., J. Tjiputra, F. Fransner, L. R. Crespo, and N. S. Keenlyside (2023),, Nature Communications, 14(1), 3649, 10.1038/s41467-023-38718-9.
  39. Fransner, F., A. Olsen, M. 脜rthun, F. Counillon, J. Tjiputra, A. Samuelsen, and N. Keenlyside, 2023: . Communications Earth & Environment, 4, 141.
  40. Nnamchi, H. C., R. Farneti, N. S. Keenlyside, F. Kucharski, M. Latif, A. Reintges, and T. Martin, 2023: . Communications Earth & Environment, 4, 121
  41. Counillon, F., N. Keenlyside, S. Wang, M. Devilliers, A. Gupta, S. Koseki, and M.-L. Shen, 2023: . Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 15, e2022MS003310.
  42. King, M. P., N. Keenlyside, and C. Li, 2023: . Climate Dynamics, 61, 2717鈥2733
  43. Shin, S.-J., S.-W. Yeh, S.-I. An, N. Keenlyside, S.-P. Xie, and J.-H. Park (2023), Southern Ocean Control of 2掳C Global Warming in Climate Models, Earth's Future, 11(1), e2022EF003212, .
  44. Crespo, L. R., A. Prigent, N. Keenlyside, S. Koseki, L. Svendsen, I. Richter, and E. S谩nchez-G贸mez (2022), , Nat. Clim. Change, 10.1038/s41558-022-01453-y
  45. Athanasiadis, P. J., .... N. Keenlyside, .... et al. (2022), . J. Climate, 1-61.
  46. Pariyar, S. K., N. Keenlyside, W.-L. Tseng, H.-H. Hsu, and B.-J. Tsuang (2022), , Climate Dynamics, 10.1007/s00382-022-06354-6
  47. Crespo, L., B. Rodr铆guez-Fonseca, I. Polo, N. Keenlyside, D. Dommenget (2022), , ERL, 17(7), 074008.
  48. Omrani, N.-E., N. Keenlyside, K. Matthes, L. Boljka, D. Zanchettin, J. H. Jungclaus, and S. W. Lubis (2022), , npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 5(1), 59, 10.1038/s41612-022-00275-1.
  49. Payne, M. R., G. Danabasoglu, N. Keenlyside, D. Matei, A. K. Miesner, S. Yang, and S. G. Yeager (2022), , 13(1), 2660, 10.1038/s41467-022-30280-0
  50. Hermanson, L, ..... Keenlyside, N., (2022), , BAMS, 103(4), E1117-E1129, 10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0311.1.
  51. Cheung, HN., Keenlyside, N., Koenigk, T. et al. (2022), , Climate Dynamics, 10.1007/s00382-022-06136-0
  52. Langehaug, H. R., Ortega, P., Counillon, F., Matei, D., Maroon, E., Keenlyside, N., Mignot, J., Wang, Y., Swingedouw, D., Bethke, I., Yang, S., Danabasoglu, G., Bellucci, A., Ruggieri, P., Nicol矛, D., & 脜rthun, M. (2022). , J. Climate, 2111鈥2131, 
  53. Bethke, I., Y. Wang, F. Counillon, N. Keenlyside, M. Kimmritz, F. Fransner, A. Samuelsen, H. Langehaug, L. Svendsen, P. G. Chiu, L. Passos, M. Bentsen, C. Guo, A. Gupta, J. Tjiputra, A. Kirkev氓g, D. Olivi茅, 脴. Seland, J. Solsvik V氓gane, Y. Fan and T. Eldevik (2021).  Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss. 2021: 1-84.
  54. Silva, E., F. Counillon, J. Brajard, A. Korosova, L. Pettersson, A. Samuelsen, N. Keenlyside, 2021: , Frontiers in Marine Science, 8(1626), 10.3389/fmars.2021.746327.
  55. Nkwinkwa Njouodo, A. S. I., M. Rouault, N. Keenlyside, S. Koseki (2021) , J. Climate, 1-50. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0627.1
  56. Svendsen, L., N. Keenlyside, M. Muilwijk, I. Bethke, N.-E. Omrani, and Y. Gao (2021), , Climate Dynamics, 57(11), 3223-3243, 10.1007/s00382-021-05868-9
  57. Counillon, F., N. Keenlyside, T. Toniazzo, S. Koseki, T. Demissie, I. Bethke, Yiguo Wang (2021), , Clim Dyn 56, 2617鈥2630
  58. Nnamchi, H. C., M. Latif, N. S. Keenlyside, J. Kjellsson, and I. Richter (2021): . Nat Commun 12, 376
  59. Smith, D. M., ... N. Keenlyside ... (2020). . Nature, 583(7818), 796-800. doi:10.1038/s41586-020-2525-0
  60. Pariyar, S. K., N. Keenlyside, A. Sorteberg, T. Spengler, B. Chandra Bhatt, and F. Ogawa, 2020: , 29, 100262.
  61. Akinsanola, A. A., W. Zhou, T. Zhou, N. Keenlyside, 2020,. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 3, 21.
  62. L贸pez-Parages, J., P.-A. Auger, B. Rodr铆guez-Fonseca, N. Keenlyside, C. Gaetan, A. Rubino, M. Woldeyes Arisido, and T. Brochier, 2020: . Progress in Oceanography, 186, 102341.
  63. Luo, H., F. Zheng, N. Keenlyside, and J. Zhu, 2020: . Climate Dynamics, 54, 4759-4773.
  64. Nnamchi, H. C., M. Latif, N. S. Keenlyside, and W. Park, (2020)  JGRO, e2019JC015834.
  65. Yang, X.-Y., G. Wang, N. Keenlyside, (2020) , The Cryosphere, 14, 693鈥708, 2020
  66. Schevenhoven, F., F. Selten, A. Carrassi, and N. Keenlyside (2019), , Earth Syst. Dynam., 10(4), 789-807, 10.5194/esd-10-789-2019.
  67. Kimmritz, M., F. Counillon, L. H. Smedsrud, I. Bethke, N. Keenlyside, F. Ogawa, and Y. Wang (2019), , Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 10.1029/2019MS001825.
  68. Wohland, J., N. E. Omrani, N. Keenlyside, and D. Witthaut (2019), , Wind Energ. Sci., 4(3), 515-526, 10.5194/wes-4-515-2019.
  69. Wu, C.-R., Y.-F. Lin, Y.-L. Wang, N. Keenlyside, and J.-Y. Yu (2019), , Scientific Reports, 9(1), 14411, 10.1038/s41598-019-51076-1.
  70. Li, F., Y. J. Orsolini, N. Keenlyside, M. L. Shen, F. Counillon, and Y. G. Wang, 2019: . Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 124, 10033-10048
  71. Wang, Y., F. Counillon, N. Keenlyside, L. Svendsen, S. Gleixner, M. Kimmritz, P. Dai, and Y. Gao 2019: , Climate Dynamics, 53, 5777鈥5797
  72. Jia, F., W. Cai, L. Wu, B. Gan, G. Wang, F. Kucharski, P. Chang, and N. Keenlyside, 2019: , Science Advances, 5(8), eaax4111, 10.1126/sciadv.aax4111.
  73. Pariyar, S, N. Keenlyside, B. Bhatt, N.-E. Omrani:, Monthly Weather Review, 147, 2941-2960
  74. Foltz, G. R., ....... N. Keenlyside ...... 2019: . Frontiers in Marine Science, 6, 206.
  75. Voldoire, A., E. Exarchou, E. Sanchez-Gomez, T. Demissie, A.-L. Deppenmeier, C. Frauen, K. Goubanova, W. Hazeleger, N. Keenlyside, S. Koseki, C. Prodhomme, J. Shonk, T. Toniazzo, A.-K. Traor茅. 2019: Clim. Dyn., 53, 3481鈥3504
  76. Wohland, J., N.-E. Omrani, D. Witthaut, and N. S. Keenlyside 2019: , JGR Atmos, 124
  77. Yan, Y., L. Svendsen, C. Wang, N. Keenlyside, Y. Qi, 2019:, JGR Oceans,  124, 1795鈥1806
  78. Cai, W., ...., N. Keenlyside, et al., 2019: , Science, 363, eaav4236.
  79. Omrani, N.-E., F. Ogawa, H. Nakamura, N. Keenlyside, S. Lubis, K. Matthes, 2019: , Scientific Reports, 9, 3014
  80. Crespo, L. R., N. Keenlyside, and S. Koseki, 2019: . Climate Dynamics, 52, 5927-5946.
  81. Koenigk, T., Y. Gao, G. Gastineau, N. Keenlyside, T. Nakamura, F. Ogawa, Y. Orsolini, V. Semenov, L. Suo, T. Tian, T. Wang, J. J. Wettstein, and S. Yang, 2019: . Clim. Dyn., 52, 3111-3137
  82. Hand, R., N.S. Keenlyside, N.-E. Omrani, J. Bader, and R. J. Greatbatch, 2019: The role of local sea surface temperature pattern changes in shaping climate change in the North Atlantic sector. Clim Dyn 52, 417鈥438.
  83. 脜rthun,  M., B. Bogstad, U. Daewel, N. S. Keenlyside, A. B. Sand酶, C. Schrum, and G. Ottersen, 2018: . PLOS ONE, 13, e0206319.
  84. Koseki, S., B. Pohl, B. C. Bhatt, N. Keenlyside, and A. S. Nkwinkwa Njouodo, 2018: . Monthly Weather Review, 146, 4339-4356
  85. Luo, F., S. Li, Y. Gao, L. Svendsen, T. Furevik, and N. Keenlyside, 2018: Environmental Research Letters, 13, 094020.
  86. Svendsen, L., N. Keenlyside, I. Bethke, and Y. Gao, 2018: . Nat. Clim. Change, 8, 793-797
  87. Nkwinkwa Njouodo, A. S., S. Koseki, N. Keenlyside, M. Rouault, , GRL, 45, 5185-5193
  88. L眉bbecke, J. F., B. Rodr铆guez-Fonseca, I. Richter, M. Mart铆n-Rey, T. Losada, I. Polo, and N. S. Keenlyside, 2018: . Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 9, e527.
  89. 脜rthun, M., E.W. Kolstad, T. Eldevik, N.S. Keenlyside, 2018, , GRL, 45, 3597-3604.
  90. Ogawa, F., N. Keenlyside, Y. Gao, T. Koenigk, S. Yang, L. Suo, T. Wang, G. Gastineau, T. Nakamura, H. N. Cheung, N.-E. Omrani, J. Ukita, and V. Semenov, 2018: , GRL, 45, 3255-3263.
  91. Tchipalanga, P.,  M. Dengler, P. Brandt, R. Kopte, M. Macu茅ria, P. Coelho, M. Ostrowski, N.S. Keenlyside, 2018: , BAMS, in press
  92. King, M. P., I. Herceg-Buli膰, I. Blad茅, J. Garc铆a-Serrano, N. Keenlyside, F. Kucharski, C. Li, S. Sobolowski, 2018: , BAMS, in press
  93. Collins, M., S. Minobe, M. Barreiro, S. Bordoni, Y. Kaspi, A. Kuwano-Yoshida, N. Keenlyside, E. Manzini, C. H. O鈥橰eilly, R. Sutton, S.-P. Xie, and O. Zolina, 2018: . Nature Climate Change, 8, 101-108.
  94. Luo, F., S. Li, Y. Gao, N. Keenlyside, L. Svendsen, T. Furevik, 2018:  Clim. Dyn., 1-17.
  95. Cheung, H. H. N., N. Keenlyside, N.-E. Omrani, and W. Zhou, 2018: . Adv. Atm. Sci., 35, 38-51.
  96. King, M. P., I. Herceg-Buli膰, F. Kucharski, and N. Keenlyside, 2018: . Climate Dynamics, 50, 1881-1899.
  97. Shen, M.-L., N. Keenlyside, B. C. Bhatt, and G. S. Duane, 2017: . Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, 27, 126704.
  98. Sillmann, J., T. Thorarinsdottir, N. Keenlyside, N. Schaller, L. V. Alexander, G. Hegerl, S. I. Seneviratne, R. Vautard, X. Zhang, and F. W. Zwiers, 2017: . WACE, 18, 65-74.
  99. Gleixner, S., N. S. Keenlyside, T. D. Demissie, F. Counillon, Y. Wang, and E. Viste, 2017: . ERL, 12, 114016.
  100. Zanchettin, D., C. Gaetan, M. W. Arisido, K. Modali, T. Toniazzo, N. Keenlyside, and A. Rubino, 2017: . Scientific Reports, 7, 12862.
  101. Nnamchi, H. C., F. Kucharski, N. S. Keenlyside, and R. Farneti, 2017: . ASL, 18, 396-402.
  102. Koseki, S., N. Keenlyside, T. Demissie, T. Toniazzo, F. Counillon, I. Bethke, M. Ilicak, and M.-L. Shen, 2018: , Clim. Dyn., 50(11), 4651-4670, 10.1007/s00382-017-3896-2.
  103. Tseng, W.-L., H.-H. Hsu, N. Keenlyside, C.-W. June Chang, B.-J. Tsuang, C.-Y. Tu, and L.-C. Jiang, 2017: J. Clim., 30, 9725-9741
  104. Richter, I., T. Doi, S. K. Behera, and N. Keenlyside, 2017: . Climate Dynamics.
  105. 脜rthun, M., T. Eldevik, E. Viste, H. Drange, T. Furevik, H. L. Johnson, and N. S. Keenlyside, 2017: . Nature Communications, 8, 15875.
  106. Wang, Y., Counillon, F., I. Bethke, N. Keenlyside, Marc Bocquet, and Mao-lin Shen, 2017: , Oce. Mod., 114 33鈥44
  107. Gleixner, S., N. Keenlyside, E. Viste, and D. Korecha, 2017: . Clim. Dyn., 49, 1865-1883.
  108. Cabos, W., D. V. Sein, J. G. Pinto, A. H. Fink, N. V. Koldunov, F. Alvarez, A. Izquierdo, N. Keenlyside, and D. Jacob, 2017: . Climate Dynamics, 48, 4051-4069.
  109. Counillon, F., N. Keenlyside, I. Bethke, Y. Wang, S. Billeau, M.-L. Shen, and M. Bentsen 2016: . Tellus A, 68, 32437
  110. Mohino, E., N.Keenlyside, H.Pohlmann, 2016: , Clim. Dyn. 47 (11), 3593-3612
  111. Mechoso, C. R., T. Losada, S. Koseki, E. Mohino-Harris, N. Keenlyside, A. Casta帽o-Tierno, T. A. Myers, B. Rodriguez-Fonseca, and T. Toniazzo, 2016: Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 11,057-11,063.
  112. Reintges, A., T. Martin, M. Latif, and N. S. Keenlyside, 2016: Clim. Dyn., 1-17
  113. Dieppois, B., B. Pohl, M. Rouault, M. New, D. Lawler, and N. Keenlyside, 2016: . JGR Atmos., 121, 6215-6239.
  114. Nnamchi, H. C., J. Li, F. Kucharski, I.-S. Kang, N. Keenlyside, P. Chang, and R. Farneti, 2016: J. Clim., 29, 7295-7311.
  115. Shen, M.-L., N. Keenlyside, F. Selten, W. Wiegerinck, and G. S. Duane, 2016: . GRL, 43, 359-366.
  116. Ogawa, F., N.-E. Omrani, K. Nishii, H. Nakamura, and N. Keenlyside, 2015: . Geophys. Res. Lett, 42, 10,056-10,063.
  117. Nnamchi, H.C., J. Li,, F. Kucharski, I.-S. Kang , N.S. Keenlyside, P. Chang and R.Farneti, , Nat. Comm. 6:8895
  118. Mecking, J., N.S. Keenlyside, R.J. Greatbatch, Multiple Timescales of Stochastically Forced North Atlantic Ocean Variability: A model study, Oce. Dyn., 1-15
  119. Chang, C.-W. J., W.-L. Tseng, H.-H. Hsu, N. Keenlyside, and B.-J. Tsuang, 2015: The Madden-Julian Oscillation in a warmer world. GRL, 42, 6034-6042.
  120. Omrani, N. E., J. Bader, N. S. Keenlyside, and E. Manzini, 2016: T. Clim. Dyn., 46, 1397-1415.
  121. King, M. P., M. Hell, and N. Keenlyside, 2016: . Clim. Dyn., 46, 1185-1195.
  122. Ding, H., N. Keenlyside, M. Latif, W. Park, and S. Wahl, 2015: The Impact of Mean State Errors on the Simulated Equatorial Atlantic Interannual Variability. JGR Oceans, 120, 1133-1151
  123. Bellucci, A., R. Haarsma, N. Bellouin, B. Booth, C. Cagnazzo, B. v. d. Hurk, N. Keenlyside, T. Koenigk, F. Massonnet, S. Materia, and M. Weiss, 2015: Advancements in decadal climate predictability: the role of non-oceanic drivers. Rev. of Geophy., 53, 165鈥202
  124. Gao, Y., J. Sun, F. Li, S. He, S. Sandven, Q. Yan, Z. Zhang, K. Lohmann, N. Keenlyside, T. Furevik, and L. Suo, 2015: . Adv. Atm. Sci., 32, 92-114.
  125. Tseng, W.-L., B.-J. Tsuang, N. Keenlyside, H.-H. Hsu, and C.-Y. Tu, 2015: , Clim. Dyn., 44, 1487-1503.
  126. Svendsen, L., S. Hetzinger, N. S. Keenlyside, and Y. Gao, 2014: . GRL, 41, 2013GL059076.
  127. Counillon, F., I. Bethke, N. Keenlyside, M. Bentsen, L. Bertino, and F. Zheng, 2014:. Tellus A, 66, 21074
  128. Ba, J., N. Keenlyside, M. Latif, W. Park, H. Ding, K. Lohmann, J. Mignot, M. Menary, O. Otter氓, B. Wouters, D. Salas y Melia, A. Oka, A. Bellucci, and E. Volodin, 2014: Clim. Dyn., 1-16
  129. Mecking, J.V., N.S. Keenlyside, and R.J. Greatbatch 2014: , Clim. Dyn., 1-18
  130. Gleixner, S., N. Keenlyside, K. Hodges, W.-L. Tseng and L. Bengtsson 2014:. Clim. Dyn., 42, 2147-2157
  131. Svendsen, L., N.G. Kvamst酶, and N.S. Keenlyside, 2014: . Clim. Dyn., 1-11
  132. Omrani, N.-E., N. S. Keenlyside, J. Bader and E. Manzini, 2014: , Clim. Dyn., 42:649鈥663
  133. Gulev, S.K., M. Latif, N. Keenlyside, W. Park, and K. P. Koltermann, 2013: , Nature, 499, 464-467
  134. Keenlyside, N., H. Ding, and M. Latif, 2013:, GRL, 40, 2278-2283.
  135. Hand, R., N. S. Keenlyside, N.-E. Omrani and M. Latif, 2013: , Clim. Dyn., 1-17
  136. Pohlmann, H., D. Smith, M. A. Balmaseda, N. S. Keenlyside, S. Masina, D. Matei, W. A. M眉ller, and P. Rogel, 2013:  Clim. Dyn., 41, 775-785
  137. Ba, J., N. Keenlyside, W. Park, M. Latif, E. Hawkins, and H. Ding, 2013: . Clim. Dyn., 41, 2133-2144
  138. Ding, H., N. Keenlyside, and M. Latif (2012), , Clim. Dyn., 38(9), 1965-1972.
  139. Meng, Q., M. Latif, W. Park, N. Keenlyside, V. Semenov, and T. Martin 2012:  Clim. Dyn., 38(9), 1757-1773
  140. Hetzinger, S., J. Halfar, J. V. Mecking, N. S. Keenlyside, A. Kronz, R. S. Steneck, W. H. Adey, and P. A. Lebednik 2012: , Clim. Dyn., 39, 1447-1455
  141. Champion, A. J., K. I. Hodges, L. O. Bengtsson, N. S. Keenlyside, and M. Esch, 2011: Tellus, 63, 893-906.
  142. Bengtsson, L., K. I. Hodges, S. Koumoutsaris, M. Zahn, and N. Keenlyside, 2011: Tellus, 63, 907-920.
  143. Bader, J., M. D. S. Mesquita, K. I. Hodges, N. Keenlyside, S. 脴sterhus, and M. Miles, 2011: A review on Northern Hemisphere sea-ice, storminess and the North Atlantic Oscillation: Observations and projected changes. Atmos. Res., 101, 809-834.
  144. Latif, M. and N. S. Keenlyside, 2011: A perspective on decadal climate variability and predictability. Deep Sea Research, 58, 1880-1894.
  145. Hawkins, E., J. Robson, R. Sutton, D. Smith, and N. Keenlyside, 2011: Evaluating the potential for statistical decadal predictions of sea surface temperatures with a perfect model approach. Clim. Dyn., 1-15.
  146. Tozuka, T., T. Doi, T. Miyasaka, N. Keenlyside, and T. Yamagata, 2011: Key factors in simulating the equatorial Atlantic zonal sea surface temperature gradient in a coupled general circulation model. JGR Oce., 116.
  147. Wahl, S., M. Latif, W. Park, and N. Keenlyside, 2009: , Clim. Dyn., 36, 891-906
  148. Keenlyside, N. S., and J. Ba, 2010: Prospects for decadal climate prediction, WIRES, 1, 627-635
  149. Semenov, V. A., M. Latif, D. Dommenget, N. S. Keenlyside, A. Strehz, T. Martin, and W. Park, 2010: The Impact of North Atlantic-Arctic Multidecadal Variability on Northern Hemisphere Surface Air Temperature. J. Clim., 23, 5668-5677.
  150. Ding, H., N. S. Keenlyside, and M. Latif, 2010: Equatorial Atlantic interannual variability: the role of heat content, JGR Oce., 115, C09020
  151. L眉bbecke, J. F., C. W. B枚ning, N. S. Keenlyside, and S.-P. Xie, 2010: On the connection between Benguela and Equatorial Atlantic Ni帽os and the role of the South Atlantic Anticyclone, JGR Oce., 115, C09015
  152. Lan, Y. Y., B. J. Tsuang, N. Keenlyside, S. L. Wang, C. T. A. Chen, B.J. Wang, and T.H Liu, 2010: Error estimations of dry deposition velocities of air pollutants using bulk sea surface temperature under common assumptions. Atm. Env., 44, 2532-2542
  153. Weisheimer, A., F.J. Doblas-Reyes, T.N. Palmer, A. Alessandri, A. Arribas, M. Deque, N. Keenlyside, M. MacVean, A. Navarra, and P. Rogel, 2009: ENSEMBLES - a new multi-model ensemble for seasonal-to-annual predictions: Skill and progress beyond DEMETER in forecasting tropical Pacific SSTs, GRL, 36, L21711
  154. Meehl, G. A., L. Goddard, J. Murphy, R. J. Stouffer, G. Boer, G. Danabasoglu, K. Dixon, M. A. Giorgetta, A. Greene, E. Hawkins, G. Hegerl, D. Karoly, N. Keenlyside, M. Kimoto, B. Kirtman, A. Navarra, R. Pulwarty, D. Smith, D. Stammer, & T. Stockdale, 2009: Decadal Prediction: Can it be skillful? BAMS, 90, 1467-1485
  155. Doblas-Reyes, F. J., A. Weisheimer, M. D茅qu茅, N. Keenlyside, M. McVean, J. Murphy, P. Rogel, D. Smith, T. N. Palmer, 2009: , QJRMS, 135, 1538 - 1559
  156. Latif, M., W. Park, H. Ding, and N. Keenlyside, 2009: Internal and External North Atlantic Sector Variability in the Kiel Climate Model, Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 18, 433-443
  157. Ding, H., N. S. Keenlyside, and M. Latif 2009: Seasonal cycle in the upper equatorial Atlantic Ocean, JGR., 114, C09016, doi:10.1029/2009JC005418
  158. Hodson, D. L. R., R. T. Sutton, C. Cassou, N. Keenlyside, Y. Okumura, and T. Zhou, 2009: Climate impacts of recent multidecadal changes in Atlantic Ocean Sea Surface Temperature: A Multimodel comparison. Clim. Dyn., DOI  - 10.1007/s00382-009-0571-2
  159. Zhou, T., R. Yu, J. Zhang, H. Drange, C. Cassou, C. Deser, D. L. R. Hodson, E. Sanchez-Gomez , J. Li, N. Keenlyside, X. Xin, Y. Okumura, 2009: Why the Western Pacific Subtropical High has Extended Westward since the Late 1970s?, J. Clim., 22, 2199鈥2215
  160. Bengtsson, L., K. I. Hodges, and N. Keenlyside, 2009: Will extra-tropical storms intensify in a warmer climate? J. Climate, 22, 2276鈥2301
  161. Jansen, M. F., D. Dommenget, N. S. Keenlyside,2009: Tropical Atmosphere-Ocean Interactions in a Conceptual Framework, J. Clim., 22, 550鈥567
  162. Park, W., N. S. Keenlyside, M. Latif, A. Stroeh, R. Redler, E. Roeckner, G. Madec, 2009: Tropical Pacific Climate and its Response to Global Warming in the Kiel Climate Model, J. Clim., 22 (1), 71-92
  163. Latif, M. and N. S. Keenlyside, 2009: El Ni帽o/Southern Oscillation Response to Global Warming, PNAS, 20578-20583
  164. Sanchez-Gomez, E., C. Cassou, D. L. R. Hodson, N. Keenlyside, Y. Okmura, and T. Zhou, 2008: Multi-model signature of the Indian and Western Pacific oceans warming in the occurrence of the North Atlantic weather regimes, GRL., 35, L15706
  165. Keenlyside, N. S., M. Latif, J. Jungclaus, L. Kornblueh, and E. Roeckner, 2008: Advancing Decadal-Scale Climate Prediction in the North Atlantic Sector. Nature, 453, 84-88
  166. Matei, D., N. S. Keenlyside, M. Latif, and J. Jungclaus, 2008: Subtropical Forcing of Tropical Pacific Climate and Decadal ENSO Modulation. J. Climate, 21, 4691-4709
  167. Hetzinger, S., M. Pfeiffer, W.-C. Dullo, N.S. Keenlyside, M. Latif, and J. Zinke, 2008: Caribbean Brain Coral Tracks Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and Past Hurricane Intensity. Geology, 36, 11-14
  168. Bengtsson, L., K. I. Hodges, M. Esch, N. S. Keenlyside, L. Kornblueh, J.-J. Luo and T. Yamagata, 2007: How may Tropical Cyclones Change in a Warmer Climate? Tellus, 59A, 539-561
  169. Keenlyside, N., M. Latif, A. D眉rkop, 2007: On Sub-ENSO variability. J. Clim., 20, 3452鈥3469
  170. Latif, M., N. Keenlyside, and J. Bader, 2007: Tropical Sea Surface Temperature, Vertical Wind Shear, and Hurricane Development, GRL, 34, L01710
  171. Keenlyside, N., and M. Latif, 2007: Understanding Equatorial Atlantic Interannual Variability, J. Clim., 20, 131-142
  172. Latif, M. M. Collins, H. Pohlmann, and N. Keenlyside, 2006: A Review of Predictability Studies of Atlantic Sector Climate on Decadal Time Scales, J. Clim., 19, 5971鈥5987
  173. Latif, M., C. B枚ning, J. Willebrand, A. Biastoch, J. Dengg, N. Keenlyside, and U. Schweckendiek, G. Madec, 2006: Is the Thermohaline Circulation Changing?, J. Clim., 19, 4631-4637
  174. Jungclaus, J. H., N. Keenlyside, M. Botzet, H. Haak, J.-J. Luo, M. Latif, J. Marotzke, U. Mikolajewicz, and E. Roeckner, 2006: Ocean Circulation and Tropical Variability in the Coupled Model ECHAM5/MPI-OM, J. Clim., 19, 3952-3972
  175. Wetzel, P., E. Maier-Reimer, M. Botzet, J. Jungclaus, N. Keenlyside, and M. Latif, 2006: Effects of Ocean Biology on the Penetrative Radiation in a Coupled Climate Model, J. Clim., 19, 3973-3987
  176. Zhang, R.-H., S. E. Zebiak, R. Kleeman, and N. Keenlyside, 2005: Retrospective El Ni帽o hindcasts/forecasts using an improved intermediate coupled model, Mon. Weath. Rev., 133, 2777-2802
  177. Keenlyside, N., M. Latif, M. Botzet, J. Jungclaus, and U. Schulzweida, 2005:A coupled method for initialising ENSO forecasts using SST, Tellus, 57A, 340-356
  178. Zhang, R.-H., R. Kleeman, S. E. Zebiak, N. Keenlyside, and S. Raynaud, 2005: An empirical parameterization of subsurface entrainment temperature for improved SST anomaly simulations in an intermediate ocean model, J. Clim., 18(2), 350-371
  179. Palmer, T.N., A. Alessandri, U. Andersen, P. Cantelaube, M. Davey, P. D茅l茅cluse, M. D茅qu茅, E. D铆ez, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, H. Feddersen, R. Graham, S. Gualdi, J.-F. Gu茅r茅my, R. Hagedorn, M. Hoshen, N. Keenlyside, M. Latif, A. Lazar, E. Maisonnave, V. Marletto, A. P. Morse, B. Orfila, P. Rogel, J.-M. Terres and M. C. Thomson, 2004: Development of a European multimodel ensemble for seasonal-to-interannual prediction (DEMETER), BAMS, 85(6), 853-872
  180. Zhang, R.-H., S. E. Zebiak, R. Kleeman, and N. Keenlyside, 2003: A new intermediate coupled model for El Ni帽o simulation and prediction, GRL, 30, 2012, doi:10.1029/2003GL018010
  181. Keenlyside, N., and R. Kleeman, 2002: Annual cycle of equatorial zonal currents in the Pacific, J. Geophys. Res., 107 (8), 10.1029/2000JC000711
  182. Arif, I., I. A. Newman, and N. Keenlyside, 1995: Theoretical paper: Proton flux measurements from tissues in buffered solution, Plant, Cell and Environment, 18,1319-1324 

Book chapters (peer reviewed)

  • Keenlyside, N., Y. Kosaka, N. Vigaud, A. Robertson, Y. Wang, D. Dommenget, J.-J. Luo, and D. Matei (2019), , edited by C. R. Mechoso, Cambridge University Press.
  • Duane, G. S., W. Wiegerinck, F. Selten, M.-L. Shen, and N. Keenlyside, 2018: Advances in Nonlinear Geosciences, A. A. Tsonis, Ed., Springer International Publishing, 101-121.
  • Keenlyside, N. S., J. Ba, J. Mecking, N.-O. Omrani, M. Latif, R. Zhang, and R. Msadek, 2015: . Climate Change: Multidecadal and Beyond, C.-P. Chang, M. Ghil, M. Latif, and M. Wallace, Eds., World Scientific Publishing.
  • Latif, M., C. B枚ning, J. Willebrand, A. Biastoch, F. Alvarez, N. S. Keenlyside, and H. Pohlmann, 2007: Decadal to Multidecadal Variability of the Atlantic MOC: Mechanisms and Predictability. In AGU Monograph 173 鈥淥cean Circulation: Mechanisms and Impacts 鈥 Past and Future Changes of Meridional  Overturning鈥, A. Schmittner, J.C.H. Chiang, and S.R. Hemming (Eds.), 149 -166

Non-peer-reviewed publications

  • Keenlyside, N. and I. Richter, 2022: , CLIVAR Exchanges, 82, 47-54
  • Keenlyside, N. and I. Richter, 2022: , CLIVAR Exchanges, 82, 55-63
  • Richter, I. and N. Keenlyside, 2021: , CLIVAR Exchanges, 80, 2-7
  • Ogawa, F. N.-E. Omrani, H. Nakamura, K. Nishii, N. Keenlyside, 2017: , CLIVAR Exchanges, 71, 37-42
  • Keenlyside, N. and D. Dommenget, 2016: . Adv. Atmos. Sci., 33, 533-534.
  • Peings, Y., G. Magnusdottir, N.-E. Omrani, and N. Keenlyside, 2014, Clivar Variations Newsletter, 12 (3), 18-23
  • Keenlyside, N. and N.-E. Omrani, 2014: ? Environmental Research Letters, 9, 061001.
  • Keenlyside, N. S., 2011: . International Journal of Forecasting, 27, 1000-1003.
  • Murphy, J., V. Kattsov, N. Keenlyside, M. Kimoto, J. Meehl, V. Mehta, H. Pohlmann, A. Scaife, D. Smith, 2009: Towards Prediction of Decadal Climate Variability and Change, White paper for World Climate Conference - 3
  • Hurrell, J., T. Delworth, G. Danabasoglu, H. Drange, S. Griffies, N. Holbrook, B. Kirtman, N. Keenlyside, M. Latif, J. Marotzke, G. Meehl, T. Palmer, H. Pohlmann, T. Rosati, R. Seager, D. Smith, R. Sutton, A. Timmermann, K. Trenberth, and J.Tribbia, 2009, Decadal Climate Prediction: Opportunities and Challenges, Community White Papers for OceanObs'09
  • Latif, M., T. Delworth, D. Dommenget, H. Drange, W. Hazeleger, J. Hurrell, N. Keenlyside, G. Meehl, and R. Sutton, 2009: Dynamics of Decadal Climate Variability and Implications for its Prediction, Community White Papers for OceanObs'09
  • N. Keenlyside, 2009: Clean air policy and Arctic warming, Nature Geosciences (News & Views), 2, 243 - 244
  • N. Keenlyside, N. Omrani, K. Kr眉ger, M. Latif and A. Scaife, 2008: Decadal predictability: How might the stratosphere be involved? SPARC Newsletter 31, 23-27
  • Latif, M. M. Collins, R. J. Stouffer, H. Pohlmann, and N. Keenlyside, 2004: The physical basis for prediction of Atlantic sector climate on decadal timescales, CLIVAR Exchanges 9, 6-8
Projects

Current

2024-2028, Akademiaavtalen 黑料吃瓜资源-Equinor, Optimizing wind energy production and operability for multi-decadal climate fluctuations in the Euro-Atlantic region

2022-2026, EU Horizon Europe, Impetus4Change (I4C): Improving Near-Term Climate Predictions For Societal Transformation

2022-2026, NFR CHINOR, Accelerated Arctic and Tibetan Plateau Warming: Processes and Combined Impact on Eurasian Climate (COMBINED)

2022-2026, BCCR strategic project, Proxy Assimilation for Reconstructing Climate and Improving Model (PARCIM)

2021-2025, EU H2020, NextGEMS -

2020-2028, RCN SFI

Previous projects that I have led

2023-2024, EU ERC Proof of Concept, Towards Operational Supermodel Climate Prediction (TOSCP)

2018-2024, Trond Mohn Foundation,  (BCPU)

2019-2023, EU H2020,  (TRIATLAS)

2021-2023, Russian MEGAGRANT, 

2015-2021, ERC Consolidator Grant, (STERCP)

2014-2016 NordForsk TRI,

2013-2017 NFR, 

2014-2017 EU FP7, 

2008-2013 Emmy Noether research group funded by the German Research Foundation (DFG): "Mechanisms and predictability of North Atlantic Decadal Climate variability"